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At the beginning of the year, Monday’s Lions/Saints matchup looked to have all kinds of possibilities as both were preseason hypes expected to make playoff runs. Instead, we have 4-9 Detroit and 5-8 New Orleans simply playing out the string. The Lions have lost two straight after winning three straight after their London debacle against the Chiefs. Last week the Saints snapped a four game skid by playing the roll of spoiler and derailing Tampa Bay’s play-off home with a 24-17 rare road win at Raymond James. The game opened at New Orleans -3 and 51. The side has not moved but the high/low has dropped a full point to 50. The game will be played in a Dome on a field where until recently the Saints had a big time edge.
Expect full scale changes with the Lions during the off season. There was a major shakeup in the front office during the season and you can expect to see Jim Caldwell and staff be among the first casualties of Black Monday. Mathew Stafford has had an overall poor year thanks in part to offensive line issues and the inability to run the ball. Calvin Johnson has 71 catches for 981 years but just seven touchdowns, three coming in the Turkey Day blowout win over the Eagles. The Lion defense has been better than expected with Ezekiel Ansah a bright spot with 13.5 sacks from his defensive end position.
The horrible Saint defense has gotten most of the attention in Crescent City this year but there has also been a noticeable decline in Drew Brees and the offense. Brees is on pace to throw for 4200-4500 yards and 30+ touchdowns but those numbers pale compared to the 5000+ seasons and 40-50 touchdown years of his heyday. The Saints running game was improved and Marl Ingram was well on his way back-to-back 1000 yard seasons before going down with shoulder surgery. Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead are now the too wide outs and Ben Watson (61-718) has done a nice job taking the place of Jimmy Graham at TE. The Saints are last against the run allowing better than 136 yards per, No.29 against the pass and No.30 overall which pretty much is all you need to know about the New Orleans stop unit.
There is not much to choose from here. The Lions are 1-5 on the road this year with their only win coming at Green Bay where they hadn’t won since 1991. Motown is 0-9 this year when they allow more than 16 points. Detroit is 4-18 ATS in its L22 December games. The Lions have also lost five of six on this field with all five losses by 11+ points. The Saints are 3-8-1 in their L12 games as a home favorite. New Orleans faces Megatron having allowed 35 touchdown passes this year, just five away from the NFL record of 40. With New Orleans allowing 41 points or more in three of their last six and Brees throwing 18 of his 25 TDs in six home games, we could see some scoring.
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