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The New England Patriots take on the Houston Texans in this week’s Sunday Night Football offering. The Pats are off back-to-back losses for the first time in 56 games after losing to Philadelphia in Foxboro last week. The Houston Texans saw their four-game win streak snapped at Buffalo this week but still remain tied with the Colts for the lead of the AFC South. New England opened as a 3-point (-20 cents) favorite with the high/low set at 44 1/2. As of this writing there has been no movement on the side or total. Weather will not be an issue thanks to Reliant Stadium’s retractable roof.
There is nothing wrong with the Patriots either offensively or defensively. Both losses can be directly attributable to shoddy special teams play and you can bet the house that will be addressed by Belichick this week. Tom Brady is having an MVP type year despite the numerous injuries that have plagued the Pats through the season. There is an outside shot that Gronk (57, 931, 9 TDs) will give it a go on his bruised knee. This would be key as second TE Scott Chandler has missed practice time this week, also with a gimpy knee. The league’s No.11 ranked defense gave up just 15 first downs and 248 yards of total offense to the Eagles last week so all appears in order with the stop unit.
The Texans were shredded by Tyrod Taylor and the Bills for four touchdowns last week after allowing just two touchdowns and 35 total points during their four game win streak. There are lots of ex-Pats on the Texans starting with head coach Bill O’Brien and assistant Romeo Crennel who are both out of the Belichick coaching tree. Quarterback Brian Hoyer (3 TDs last week) was a long time Brady backup and nose tackle Vince Wilfork was an un-ceremonial summer salary dump by the visitors. Each will have a shot at their old club but will find the Pats in a foul mood after not only losing B2B games but losing B2B games in which they had 14 point leads in both.
There is not much history in the series with New England winning five of the six games in the series. The Pats (-7, 49) won 34-31 here in 2013 in a game they trailed 17-7 at the half. Brady had a big second half finishing with 365 passing yards for the day. New England is 1-3 as a road favorite this year yet four of their five road wins have been by more than a touchdown suggesting the Pats have been overpriced. AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 5-3 ATS. Four of the last five Texan games have gone under the total while the six games in the series have averaged almost 57 points-per-game.
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