Sportsbooks are giving the Washington Redskins a little extra credit for their ‘Close but no cigar’ loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week, tacking on an extra half-point to the usual three given for home field advantage. New York, fresh off a huge bounce back game vs. Houston after opening 0-2, perhaps deserves a little more respect for the balanced attack that led to their 30-17 win over the Texans but forget about respect, we’ll take the free ‘hook’ as we get the week rolling with this primetime prediction.
Divisional favorites are often overvalued at this stage of the season, with books having to protect against the ever so popular ‘home field’ mentality that some bettors feel will help overcome a team’s deficiencies. The truth is that these small home faves are only hitting 33-percent ATS since 2006 and in fact, their straight-up record isn’t much better (18-27 SU or 40-percent).
New York rushed for 193 yards in Week 3 and in the past 20 years, no NFC team has benefitted more from a strong ground game than the Giants, going 32-13 ATS (71-percent) following a 175-plus effort from its running backs. Take the pressure off Eli Manning’s shoulders and New York’s offense is hard to contain. It doesn’t help that Washington is on a short week and that their defense resembles a MASH unit following the loss to Philly.
Kirk Cousins may seem like a better fit for the Redskins offense but this should be a much tougher test than the Jaguars game where he came off the bench and threw for 250 yards.
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