This article uses betting market data to help you make more informed NFL predictions ahead of this week’s round of games. Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs predictions Team Win Houston Texans 22.13% Kansas City Chiefs 77.87% The Cheifs are currently -9 at home to the Texans. The Over/Under is currently set at 53. Score prediction: 31-21… Read More
Archive for September, 2020
The illusion of control
The need for control The Influence of personal choice Dangerous information and near misses People are prone to misinterpreting a sense of control in situations that are inherently random, uncontrollable or unpredictable. This illusion of control is especially pertinent to betting, and should therefore be something that all bettors understand and try to guard against…. Read More
What is the Gambler’s Fallacy?
What is expected deviation in betting? Learn how to apply the law of large numbers to betting The nine-toss example The law of large Numbers was established in the 17th century by Jacob Bernoulli showing that the larger the sample of an event – like a coin toss – the more likely it is to… Read More
